The College Football Pyramid

Published: August 27, 2014
By Erik Pitzer
with foreword by James Irwin

Introduction | Regions | Simulated Standings

2013-2014 Simulated Standings

View simulated standings for the 2014-2015 season »
View simulated standings for the 2015-2016 season »
View simulated standings for the 2016-2017 season »
View simulated standings for the 2017-2018 season »
View simulated standings for the 2018-2019 season »

Using Ken Massey's comphrensive ratings system, we're able to simulate results and standings across NCAA Divisions I and II. All Tier 1 standings are formulated by a "Projected Conference Standings" column which uses actual head-to-head results from the 2013-2014 season where possible, and Massey's head-to-head matchup predictor elsewhere. For simplicity's sake, all other tier standings are ranked solely on their Massey Rating number.

Frontier Sky Region

Tier One

  Team Proj. Conf. Record Actual Overall Record Massey Rating
1. Oregon 9-0 11-2 5
2. Washington 8-1 9-4 16
3. Oregon St. 7-2 7-6 31
4. BYU 5-4 8-5 37
5. Utah 5-4 5-7 38
6. Washington St. 5-4 6-7 39
7. Nebraska 2-7 9-4 36
8. Minnesota 2-7 8-5 47
9. Boise St. 2-7 8-5 58
10. Colorado 0-9 4-8 80

Tier Two

  Team AOR MR
1. North Dakota St. 15-0 17
2. Utah St. 9-5 45
3. E. Washington 12-3 75
4. Colorado St. 8-6 78
5. South Dakota St. 9-5 91
6. Montana 10-3 118
7. Wyoming 5-7 146
8. Montana St. 7-5 182
9. Air Force 2-10 199
10. Idaho 1-11 257
 

Tier Four - North

  Team AOR MR
1. Chadron St. 8-3 266
2. Mary (ND) 6-5 339
3. W. Oregon 7-4 444
4. C. Washington 7-4 460
5. Black Hills St. 3-8 511
6. South Dakota Mines 5-4 517
7. Minot St. 2-9 564
8. Simon Fraser 3-7 609

Tier Four - South

  Team AOR MR
1. CSU-Pueblo 11-1 173
2. Colorado Mines 8-3 253
3. Adams St. 7-4 399
4. Colorado Mesa 5-6 406
5. Nebraska-Kearney 3-8 438
6. Wayne St. (NE) 2-9 459
7. Western St. Colorado 2-9 475
8. Fort Lewis 4-7 518
9. Dixie St. 4-7 570

Tier Four - East

  Team AOR MR
1. SW Minnesota St. 7-5 290
2. Sioux Falls 6-5 297
3. Winona St. 6-5 338
4. Concordia (MN) 5-6 383
5. Augustana 4-7 386
6. Northern St. 4-7 420
7. Minnesota St.-Moorhead 4-7 436
8. Bemidji St. 3-8 461
9. Minnesota-Crookston 2-9 585
Green Key Promoted Red Key Relegated Yellow Key Made Playoffs Striped Key Made Promotion Playoffs

« Return to Main Article | View the newest standings from the 2017-2018 season »

Pacific Mesa Region

Tier One

  Team Proj. Conf. Record Actual Overall Record Massey Rating
1. Stanford 8-1 11-3 7
2. UCLA 7-2 10-3 9
3. Arizona St. 7-2 10-4 15
4. USC 7-2 10-4 20
5. Arizona 5-4 8-5 27
6. Texas Tech 5-4 8-5 32
7. Fresno St. 3-6 11-2 52
8. Nevada 2-7 4-8 113
9. California 1-8 1-11 126
10. Hawaii 0-9 1-11 167

Tier Two

  Team AOR MR
1. San Diego St. 8-5 76
2. San Jose St. 6-6 84
3. UNLV 7-6 95
4. Northern Arizona 9-3 134
5. Cal Poly 6-6 156
6. New Mexico 3-9 175
7. UC Davis 5-7 204
8. Sacramento St. 5-7 220
9. UTEP 2-10 231
10. New Mexico St. 2-10 239
 
Green Key Promoted Red Key Relegated Yellow Key Made Playoffs Striped Key Made Promotion Playoffs

« Return to Main Article | View the newest standings from the 2017-2018 season »

Heartland

Tier One

  Team Proj. Conf. Record Actual Overall Record Massey Rating
1. Missouri 9-0 12-2 3
2. Oklahoma 8-1 11-2 8
3. Oklahoma St. 7-2 10-3 13
4. Wisconsin 6-3 9-4 22
5. Kansas St. 5-4 8-5 21
6. Iowa 4-5 8-5 33
7. Northwestern 3-6 5-7 67
8. Iowa St. 2-7 3-9 71
9. Arkansas 1-8 3-9 81
10. Illinois 0-9 4-8 90

Tier Two

  Team AOR MR
1. Northern Illinois 12-2 46
2. Eastern Illinois 12-2 51
3. Arkansas St. 8-5 87
4. Northern Iowa 7-5 102
5. Southern Illinois 7-5 103
6. Kansas 3-9 109
7. Memphis 3-9 123
8. Illinois St. 5-6 128
9. Tulsa 3-9 140
10. Central Arkansas 7-5 161
 

Tier Four - North

  Team AOR MR
1. Central Missouri 6-4 203
2. Upper Iowa 6-5 347
3. Truman St. 7-4 429
4. Lindenwood 3-6 439
5. Lincoln (MO) 3-8 463
6. Missouri S&T 6-5 480
7. McKendree 4-6 572
8. William Jewell 3-8 644
9. Quincy 2-9 667

Tier Four - Southwest

  Team AOR MR
1. Washburn 8-3 227
2. Fort Hays St. 6-5 311
3. SW Oklahoma St. 6-5 336
4. East Central 5-5 373
5. Central Oklahoma 2-8 416
6. SE Oklahoma St. 2-9 504
7. NW Oklahoma St. 2-9 571
8. Oklahoma Panhandle St. 4-7 689
9. Southern Nazarene 0-11 727

Tier Four - Southeast

  Team AOR MR
1. Harding 9-2 201
2. Missouri Southern 7-3 232
3. Ouachita Baptist 7-3 259
4. Southern Arkansas 6-4 324
5. Arkansas Tech 5-6 390
6. Northeastern St. 2-9 430
7. Lane 6-4 446
8. Arkansas-Monticello 5-6 478
9. Southwest Baptist 1-10 574
 
Green Key Promoted Red Key Relegated Yellow Key Made Playoffs Striped Key Made Promotion Playoffs

« Return to Main Article | View the newest standings from the 2017-2018 season »

Texas Delta

Tier One

  Team Proj. Conf. Record Actual Overall Record Massey Rating
1. Baylor 9-0 11-2 11
2. LSU 7-2 10-3 12
3. Texas A&M 7-2 9-4 19
4. Ole Miss 6-3 8-5 26
5. Texas 5-4 8-5 28
6. Mississippi St. 5-4 7-6 34
7. TCU 3-6 4-8 56
8. Houston 2-7 8-5 62
9. Rice 1-8 10-4 70
10. Southern Methodist 0-9 5-7 92

Tier Two

  Team AOR MR
1. North Texas 9-4 69
2. UT-San Antonio 7-5 82
3. Louisiana-Lafayette 9-4 86
4. SE Louisiana 11-3 89
5. Louisiana-Monroe 6-6 112
6. McNeese St. 10-3 122
7. Sam Houston St. 9-5 133
8. Texas St. 6-6 158
9. Louisiana Tech 4-8 196
10. Stephen F. Austin 3-9 287
 
Green Key Promoted Red Key Relegated Yellow Key Made Playoffs Striped Key Made Promotion Playoffs

« Return to Main Article | View the newest standings from the 2017-2018 season »

Dixie Coast

Tier One

  Team Proj. Conf. Record Actual Overall Record Massey Rating
1. Florida St. 9-0 14-0 1
2. Auburn 8-1 12-2 2
3. Alabama 7-2 11-2 6
4. Georgia 6-3 8-5 25
5. Central Florida 5-4 12-1 23
6. Miami (FL) 4-5 9-4 41
7. Georgia Tech 3-6 7-6 44
8. Florida 2-7 4-8 63
9. South Florida 1-8 2-10 149
10. UAB 0-9 2-10 224

Tier Two

  Team AOR MR
1. Florida Atlantic 6-6` 96
2. Tulane 7-6 98
3. South Alabama 6-6 100
4. Troy 6-6 115
5. Jacksonville St. 11-4 117
6. Georgia Southern 7-4 150
7. Samford 8-5 162
8. Georgia St. 0-12 240
9. Southern Miss 1-11 250
10. Florida International 1-11 313
 

Tier Four

  Team AOR MR
1. Tuskegee 8-3 278
2. Miles 6-4 365
3. Albany St. 6-4 381
4. Stillman 5-5 492
5. Florida Tech 5-7 494
6. Shorter 2-9 524
7. Fort Valley St. 4-6 537
8. Morehouse 2-8 658
9. Clark Atlanta 2-7 683
 
 
Green Key Promoted Red Key Relegated Yellow Key Made Playoffs Striped Key Made Promotion Playoffs

« Return to Main Article | View the newest standings from the 2017-2018 season »

Piedmont Ridge

Tier One

  Team Proj. Conf. Record Actual Overall Record Massey Rating
1. South Carolina 8-1 11-2 10
2. Clemson 8-1 11-2 14
3. Vanderbilt 7-2 9-4 30
4. Duke 6-3 10-4 35
5. Virginia Tech 5-4 8-5 40
6. Tennessee 4-5 5-7 49
7. North Carolina 4-5 7-6 50
8. Wake Forest 2-7 4-8 83
9. Virginia 1-8 2-10 121
10. North Carolina St. 0-9 3-9 127

Tier Two

  Team AOR MR
1. East Carolina 10-3 60
2. Coastal Carolina 12-3 93
3. Middle Tennessee St. 8-5 97
4. Old Dominion 8-4 135
5. Chattanooga 8-4 137
6. Liberty 8-4 142
7. James Madison 6-6 152
8. Furman 8-6 153
9. Appalachian St. 4-8 211
10. Charlotte 5-6 349
 

Tier Four - West

  Team AOR MR
1. Carson-Newman 10-3 223
2. Tennessee Tech 5-7 228
3. North Greenville 5-6 379
4. Mars Hill 3-8 427
5. Austin Peay 0-12 440
6. Tusculum 3-7 447
7. Brevard 2-8 462
8. UVA-Wise 2-9 686

Tier Four - South

  Team AOR MR
1. Lenoir-Rhyne 13-2 160
2. UNC-Pembroke 9-2 215
3. Newberry 9-3 260
4. Catawba 6-5 366
5. Presbyterian 3-8 367
6. Wingate 4-6 391
7. Benedict 4-6 551
8. Davidson 0-11 757

Tier Four - north

  Team AOR MR
1. Winston-Salem St. 10-2 207
2. Hampton 4-8 291
3. Norfolk St. 3-9 342
4. Virginia St. 9-1 350
5. VMI 2-10 375
6. Elizabeth City St. 4-6 497
7. Chowan 4-6 520
8. Virginia Union 3-7 594
 

Tier Four - East

  Team AOR MR
1. North Carolina A&T 7-4 238
2. North Carolina Central 5-7 320
3. Shaw 6-4 360
4. Fayetteville St. 6-4 388
5. St. Augustine's 4-6 454
6. Johnson C. Smith 5-5 486
7. Campbell 3-9 604
8. Livingstone 3-7 612
 
 
Green Key Promoted Red Key Relegated Yellow Key Made Playoffs Striped Key Made Promotion Playoffs

« Return to Main Article | View the newest standings from the 2017-2018 season »

Great Lakes

Tier One

  Team Proj. Conf. Record Actual Overall Record Massey Rating
1. Michigan St. 8-1 13-1 4
2. Ohio St. 8-1 12-2 18
3. Louisville 7-2 12-1 24
4. Notre Dame 6-3 9-4 29
5. Michigan 6-3 7-6 43
6. Indiana 4-5 5-7 64
7. Cincinnati 3-6 9-4 68
8. Kentucky 2-7 2-10 111
9. Ohio 1-8 7-6 129
10. Purdue 0-9 1-11 166

Tier Two

  Team AOR MR
1. Bowling Green 10-4 57
2. Toledo 7-5 74
3. Ball St. 10-3 79
4. Western Kentucky 8-4 85
5. Kent St. 4-8 130
6. Akron 5-7 131
7. Central Michigan 6-6 141
8. Western Michigan 1-11 265
9. Eastern Michigan 2-10 285
10. Miami (OH) 0-12 328
 

Tier Four - North

  Team AOR MR
1. Ferris St. 8-3 210
2. Findlay 8-3 268
3. Indianapolis 10-2 281
4. Hillsdale 5-6 299
5. Michigan Tech 6-4 302
6. Northern Michigan 6-4 378
7. Wayne St. (MI) 3-8 401
8. St. Joseph's 8-3 474
9. Northwood 2-9 490
10. Tiffin 2-9 552

Tier Four - South

  Team AOR MR
1. Ohio Dominican 10-1 172
2. Ashland 5-5 331
3. Urbana 7-4 377
4. Lake Erie 4-7 397
5. Walsh 3-8 482
6. Notre Dame College 5-6 500
7. Kentucky St. 5-5 523
8. Malone 2-9 535
9. Central St. 2-9 592
10. Kentucky Wesleyan 0-11 816
 
Green Key Promoted Red Key Relegated Yellow Key Made Playoffs Striped Key Made Promotion Playoffs

« Return to Main Article | View the newest standings from the 2017-2018 season »

Atlantic Penn

Tier One

  Team Proj. Conf. Record Actual Overall Record Massey Rating
1. Penn St. 9-0 7-5 48
2. Navy 8-1 9-4 54
3. Pittsburgh 7-2 7-6 53
4. Syracuse 6-3 7-6 55
5. Marshall 5-4 10-4 66
6. Boston College 4-5 7-6 61
7. Maryland 3-6 7-6 73
8. West Virginia 2-7 4-8 77
9. Connecticut 1-8 3-9 119
10. Rutgers 0-9 6-7 104

Tier Two

  Team AOR MR
1. Towson 13-3 65
2. New Hampshire 10-5 88
3. Buffalo 8-5 94
4. Villanova 6-5 106
5. Maine 10-3 107
6. Temple 2-10 138
7. Delaware 7-5 148
8. Stony Brook 5-6 159
9. Army 3-9 189
10. Massachusetts 1-11 274
 

Tier Four - Appalachian

  Team AOR MR
1. Shepherd 11-1 216
2. Concord (WV) 8-3 319
3. Charleston (WV) 6-5 409
4. Glenville St. 6-5 469
5. WV Wesleyan 5-5 483
6. West Liberty 3-8 618
7. Fairmont St. 3-7 643
8. Alderson-Broaddus 4-7 677
9. West Virginia St. 0-11 775

Tier Four - West

  Team AOR MR
1. Slippery Rock 9-3 214
2. Indiana (PA) 9-2 226
3. Duquesne 7-4 237
4. California (PA) 7-4 271
5. Robert Morris 5-6 289
6. Mercyhurst 7-4 308
7. Gannon 6-5 337
8. Edinboro 5-6 396
9. Clarion 4-7 441
10. Seton Hill 1-10 672

Tier Four - Central

  Team AOR MR
1. West Chester 13-2 185
2. Bloomsburg 10-2 208
3. St. Francis (PA) 5-6 251
4. Shippensburg 7-4 275
5. East Stroudsburg 7-4 340
6. Kutztown 4-7 405
7. Lock Haven 3-8 614
8. Millersville 1-10 702
9. Cheyney 0-11 783
 

Tier Four - East

  Team AOR MR
1. Marist 8-3 258
2. Delaware St. 5-6 286
3. Morgan St. 5-7 288
4. Howard 6-6 298
5. Wagner 3-8 358
6. Georgetown 2-9 372
7. Bowie St. 5-5 470
8. LIU-Post 5-6 556
9. Lincoln (PA) 1-9 770
10. Pace 0-11 807

Tier Four - Northeast

  Team AOR MR
1. Bryant 5-7 272
2. American International 9-3 306
3. New Haven 8-3 335
4. Central Connecticut St. 4-8 345
5. Stonehill 8-3 359
6. Merrimack 7-4 403
7. Assumption 6-5 411
8. Bentley 6-5 487
9. S. Connecticut St. 3-8 553
10. St. Anselm 1-10 652
 
Green Key Promoted Red Key Relegated Yellow Key Made Playoffs Striped Key Made Promotion Playoffs

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Introduction | Regions | Simulated Standings

About the Authors

Erik Pitzer resides in the Piedmont Ridge region and is the resident bracketologist at NoBowls.com. Follow him mixing business and pleasure @pitz2.